Will the United States carry out a confirmed military strike inside Iran before 30 September 2026?

A 60-day memorandum of understanding between Washington and Tehran expired on 17 August 2026 with no agreement, and President Trump has since renewed public threats of military action over the Strait of Hormuz. American forces last struck targets inside Iran on 7 May 2026, hitting sites around Bandar Abbas and Qeshm Island. Shipping through the strait remains well below normal, with 73 vessel transits recorded in the week to 16 August. Resolves: 30 September 2026 • Source: Reuters reporting of United States government or Pentagon confirmation Rule: Resolves YES if United States forces conduct at least one strike on a target inside Iranian territory between 22 August and 30 September 2026 inclusive, confirmed by the United States government or the Pentagon and reported by Reuters. A strike carried out jointly by the United States and another country counts as YES. The strikes of 7 May 2026 fall before the window and do not count. Strikes by Israel or any other country acting alone, strikes on Iranian-linked targets outside Iran such as in Iraq, Syria, Yemen or Lebanon, action against Iranian vessels at sea, cyber operations, and reports attributed only to unnamed officials all resolve NO.